When I say that the current Russian Federation will most likely fragment into...

04:17:00 18.12.2025

When I say that the current Russian Federation will most likely fragment into various large regions after the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war—just as the Soviet Union broke apart into different republics after the Soviet-Afghan war—and that, as a result, serious shocks will emerge in Armenia that will literally plunge our entire system into a deep crisis overnight, since Armenia, unfortunately, is tied in every respect to that repulsive federation, the majority believe that I am exaggerating. They think I exaggerate especially when I say that this time the Russian empire will collapse for the third and final time.

However, this is not a prophecy, but a simple calculation. The Soviet-Afghan war lasted about ten years, during which the USSR suffered around fifteen thousand deaths. In contrast, during this Russo-Ukrainian war, which has already been going on for four years, the Russian Federation has suffered incomparably greater human losses—around one million—among them thousands of our compatriots living in Russia, who in this case truly died for nothing.

It must also be taken into account that the USSR was, geopolitically, a far more weighty factor than today’s Russia, which is simultaneously facing numerous deep-rooted problems: a shrinking workforce, emigration, extremely low birth rates, and structural economic vulnerability. There are also many other social, political, and economic factors that indicate that the Russian empire is in a phase of decline and living out its final years. Within all this, Russia’s military-political failure in this war constitutes one of the key factors.

History has repeatedly shown that all big empires, before their final collapse, begin to suffer failures in wars. This is not true only of the Soviet Union. Before its fall, the Roman Empire suffered numerous military defeats against Germanic tribes, the Huns, and the Persians. The Ottoman Empire gradually weakened in the 18th–19th centuries as a result of military defeats against European powers. In China, the Qing dynasty was defeated in the Opium Wars and a number of other conflicts in the 19th century, which deepened internal instability and ultimately led to systemic collapse. In short, defeats and failures in war are devastating for empires because they are extremely costly, generate internal instability, and shatter the illusion of power by exposing real vulnerability.

Against this backdrop, it remains for us, Armenian nationalists, to soberly assess developments and prepare from now for major regional shocks, so that during the coming storm we can defend our national interests by creating a real Armenian national state and avoid repeating the mistakes of the past, so this time we can fully carry out our historical mission.

#This_Time_the_World